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2010 Races
Democrats Plan Political Triage to Retain House PDF Print E-mail
Monday, 06 September 2010 06:37
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by Jeff Zeleny and Carl Hulse

As Democrats brace for a November wave that threatens their control of the House, party leaders are preparing a brutal triage of their own members in hopes of saving enough seats to keep a slim grip on the majority.

In the next two weeks, Democratic leaders will review new polls and other data that show whether vulnerable incumbents have a path to victory. If not, the party is poised to redirect money to concentrate on trying to protect up to two dozen lawmakers who appear to be in the strongest position to fend off their challengers.

“We are going to have to win these races one by one,” said Representative Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, conceding that the party would ultimately cut loose members who had not gained ground.

 
Justin Coussoule for Congress (running against John Boehner) PDF Print E-mail
Sunday, 05 September 2010 22:55

by Justin Coussoule

http://www.coussouleforcongress.com/

The new Coussoule Yard Signs are in and my kids are pretty excited. Bright blue and you can see their last name from far away. Now, we'd like to get as many out as possible to make them really happy! In the next couple of days signs will be at all the County Headquarters in the 8th, or contact us through the website... and we'll tell you when we'll be in your area.

Last Updated on Monday, 06 September 2010 06:30
 
FRIDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 03 September 2010 17:02
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by Steve Benen

* Arizona is still buzzing about Gov. Jan Brewer's (R) bizarre debate performance this week, but it's too soon to say whether it might affect the November election.

* As a reminder of just how important the GOP considers Florida's gubernatorial race, the Republican Governors Association will transfer $2 million to the Florida Republican Party, to be used for attack ads against Democratic nominee Alex Sink.

* The Democratic Governors Association yesterday filed a complaint with the Ohio Elections Commission, over Fox News allegedly making an in-kind contribution to Republican gubernatorial hopeful John Kasich, who also happens to be a former Fox News employee.

* Hoping to capitalize on Alaska's suddenly-competitive Senate race, Sen. Mark Begich's (D-Alaska) state director, Susanne Fleek-Green, will join Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams' (D) Senate campaign team.

* On a related note, Joe Miller, Alaska's Republican Senate nominee, told CNN this week he "absolutely" wants to phase Social Security out of existence.

Last Updated on Friday, 03 September 2010 17:04
 
G.O.P. Poised to Control 30 Governor Seats PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 03 September 2010 16:39
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Republicans are on track to control approximately 30 governor seats after the Nov. 2 election, according to the FiveThirtyEight gubernatorial forecasting model. And they are likely to do particularly well in the swing states of the Midwest.

Such an outcome would reverse the current state of the nation’s governors’ mansions, which are now held by 26 Democrats, 23 Republicans and 1 independent.

Thirty-seven states are holding elections for governor this year; an unusually high number, 24, are open-seat races in which the incumbent was either barred from running again because of term limits, or chose to retire. (One incumbent, Jim Gibbons of Nevada, was defeated in the Republican primary.) Many of these open races, including California, Florida, Oregon and Wisconsin, are too close to call. But in 11 of these contests, including Michigan and Pennsylvania, the Republican candidate has at least an 80 percent chance of victory, according to the model. Conversely, Democrats are clear favorites in only four open-seat races — Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii and New York, where Andrew Cuomo is almost certain to become the next governor.

 
Are Swing District Dems Toast? PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 03 September 2010 15:31
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Rep. Tom Perriello battles GOP cash, voter fatigue, and his own party's elites.

As he walks the quiet Main Street of Farmville, Virginia, Rep. Tom Perriello has his work cut out for him. Wearing khakis, brown boots, and an open-collar shirt in the 100-degree heat, the freshman Democrat pops into stores and offices—he's not always recognized—and asks how business is going and what he can do to help. He tells his constituents that America needs to "make things," and "the elites" in Washington don't get this. At Key Office Supply, owner Jim Ailsworth thanks Perriello for his health care reform vote, noting that he plans to use the law's small-business tax credit for his staff. At Davenport & Company, an independent stock brokerage, manager Brad Watson says he's worried that the stimulus (which Perriello also supported) won't yield long-lasting public works. Perriello points out that he argued "for a stimulus that is focused on 10 years—not 18 months." After Perriello leaves, Watson points to campaign literature on his desk for state Sen. Robert Hurt, who vanquished several tea party candidates to become Perriello's Republican challenger. "Hurt's a nice, moderate Republican," Watson says; he intends to vote for him.

Some 175 miles away in Washington, Republican strategists would be heartened to hear Watson talk. Defeating Perriello is one of the GOP's top priorities as the party fights to gain the 39 seats it needs to seize control of the House and create an anti-Obama fire wall. These few sleepy blocks in central Virginia constitute one of the front lines in this fight. (Before the campaign even began, Perriello was already the target of $1 million in attack ads.) Given that political handicappers estimate the GOP is likely to bag at least 30 House seats, the Dems' fate could depend on whether Perriello manages to hold on.

Virginia's 5th Congressional District—a New Jersey-size triangle that combines liberal-leaning Charlottesville with stretches of rural and Bible Belt territory—was drawn by GOP legislators to be an easy win for a Republican. But in 2008, Perriello narrowly beat incumbent Virgil Goode Jr., a Democrat-turned-Republican, by 727 votes. Barack Obama's presence on the ticket, which boosted African American turnout, probably helped (though John McCain handily won the district). But this year, Perriello, a Virginia native, Yale Law graduate, and former international human rights attorney, is on his own. He can count on Charlottesville, but he must secure some votes in the southern and rural regions to remain a congressman.

Last Updated on Saturday, 04 September 2010 10:50
 
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